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Model output · Signal date Oct. 15, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2478 companies scored · 2026-10-15 run in progress: 2613 of ~5380 signals so far · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-15 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-14 run
Companies scored 2478 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast +0.19% Alpha · 30D
Long–short spread +2.27% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.29 Spearman · 30D
Rating changes ▲ 178 ▼ 150 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

30D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

133 companies

Sorted by 30D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
51 SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Finance 0.26 $2.6B Neutral -0.04% -0.88% ·
52 UCBUNITED COMMUNITY BANKS INC Finance 0.26 $4.0B Neutral -0.04% +0.66% ·
53 WALWESTERN ALLIANCE BANCORPORATION Finance 0.16 $7.9B Neutral -0.04% -0.57% ·
54 EQHEquitable Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.33 $14.4B Neutral -0.06% -1.55% ·
55 ERIEERIE INDEMNITY CO Finance 0.34 $10.6B Neutral -0.06% +0.89% ·
56 FMBHFIRST MID BANCSHARES, INC. Finance 0.30 $1.3B Neutral -0.06% +1.21% ·
57 ONBOLD NATIONAL BANCORP /IN/ Finance 0.27 $9.5B Neutral -0.06% +0.56% ·
58 PFHPRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC Finance 0.47 $5.1B Neutral -0.06% -1.07% ·
59 RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.01 $201M Neutral -0.06% +1.25% ·
60 FRMEFIRST MERCHANTS CORP Finance 0.04 $2.4B Neutral -0.07% -0.33% ·
61 KEYKEYCORP /NEW/ Finance 0.06 $21.1B Neutral -0.07% +1.02% ·
62 OPYOPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INC Finance 0.23 $1.1B Neutral -0.07% +0.44% ·
63 PROVPROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC Finance 0.40 $113M Neutral -0.07% +0.54% ·
64 SYBTStock Yards Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.15 $2.3B Neutral -0.07% +0.15% ·
65 BFCBank First Corp Finance 0.23 $1.6B Neutral -0.08% -0.42% ·
66 FNLCFirst Bancorp, Inc /ME/ Finance 0.11 $378M Neutral -0.08% +2.01% ·
67 LKFNLAKELAND FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.09 $1.4B Neutral -0.08% +0.94% ·
68 MORNMorningstar, Inc. Finance 0.36 $7.7B Neutral -0.08% +0.06% ·
69 ROOTRoot, Inc. Finance 0.59 $761M Neutral -0.08% +0.24% ·
70 RRBIRED RIVER BANCSHARES INC Finance 0.00 $659M Neutral -0.08% +0.16% ·
71 AXSAXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LTD Finance 0.17 $7.2B Neutral -0.09% -1.51% ·
72 LAZLazard, Inc. Finance 0.20 $3.9B Neutral -0.09% +0.46% ·
73 OCFCOCEANFIRST FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.13 $1.5B Neutral -0.09% +0.67% ·
74 PLGOPelagos Insurance Capital Ltd Finance 0.25 $2.0B Neutral -0.09% -0.52% ·
75 RLIRLI CORP Finance 0.18 $5.3B Neutral -0.09% -0.89% ·
76 TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.16 $686M Neutral -0.09% +0.52% ·
77 ABXAbacus Global Management, Inc. Finance 0.24 $794M Neutral -0.10% +1.26% ·
78 ALLYAlly Financial Inc. Finance 0.53 $11.2B Neutral -0.10% -0.57% ·
79 AMSFAMERISAFE INC Finance 0.17 $457M Neutral -0.10% +0.20% ·
80 AXAxos Financial, Inc. Finance 0.30 $4.9B Neutral -0.10% +0.02% ·
81 BMOBANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ Finance 0.19 $115.9B Neutral -0.10% -0.47% ·
82 BOKFBOK FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.12 $7.5B Neutral -0.10% -0.20% ·
83 BOTJBANK OF THE JAMES FINANCIAL GROUP INC Finance 0.31 $123M Neutral -0.10% +1.62% ·
84 BWINBaldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Finance 0.47 $4.5B Neutral -0.10% -1.76% ·
85 CBNKCapital Bancorp Inc Finance 0.07 $629M Neutral -0.10% +0.78% ·
86 CBSHCOMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ Finance 0.06 $7.8B Neutral -0.10% +0.28% ·
87 CCNECNB FINANCIAL CORP/PA Finance 0.09 $991M Neutral -0.10% +1.58% ·
88 CFGCITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP INC/RI Finance 0.00 $26.4B Neutral -0.10% -0.18% ·
89 CNCCENTENE CORP Finance 0.67 $34.7B Neutral -0.10% +1.60% ·
90 CNOCNO Financial Group, Inc. Finance 0.19 $5.0B Neutral -0.10% -0.22% ·
91 COFSCHOICEONE FINANCIAL SERVICES INC Finance 0.00 $481M Neutral -0.10% +1.10% ·
92 EBCEastern Bankshares, Inc. Finance 0.13 $4.8B Neutral -0.10% -0.11% ·
93 EGEVEREST GROUP, LTD. Finance 0.11 $14.4B Neutral -0.10% -0.69% ·
94 FBNCFIRST BANCORP /NC/ Finance 0.18 $2.5B Neutral -0.10% +0.84% ·
95 FCCOFIRST COMMUNITY CORP /SC/ Finance 0.01 $301M Neutral -0.10% +1.82% ·
96 FHBFIRST HAWAIIAN, INC. Finance 0.30 $3.0B Neutral -0.10% -0.09% ·
97 FISIFINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INC Finance 0.02 $761M Neutral -0.10% +0.96% ·
98 FULTFULTON FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.30 $4.2B Neutral -0.10% -0.04% ·
99 GABCGERMAN AMERICAN BANCORP, INC. Finance 0.06 $1.8B Neutral -0.10% +1.41% ·
100 GBCIGLACIER BANCORP, INC. Finance 0.16 $5.6B Neutral -0.10% -0.12% ·
51–100 of 133 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 178▼ 150
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-14) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.