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Model output · Signal date Oct. 15, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2478 companies scored · 2026-10-15 run in progress: 2987 of ~5380 signals so far · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-15 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-14 run
Companies scored 2478 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast +0.19% Alpha · 30D
Long–short spread +2.28% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.29 Spearman · 30D
Rating changes ▲ 178 ▼ 146 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

30D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

134 companies

Sorted by 30D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
1 AIIAmerican Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. Finance 0.60 $538M Neutral +0.19% -0.81% ▼ 1
2 BMRCBank of Marin Bancorp Finance 0.17 $423M Neutral +0.19% +1.10% ▼ 1
3 CBANCOLONY BANKCORP INC Finance 0.15 $418M Neutral +0.19% +1.86% ▼ 1
4 COLBCOLUMBIA BANKING SYSTEM, INC. Finance 0.07 $7.9B Neutral +0.19% +0.16% ▼ 1
5 NRIMNORTHRIM BANCORP INC Finance 0.21 $536M Neutral +0.19% +0.96% ▼ 1
6 OBTOrange County Bancorp, Inc. /DE/ Finance 0.00 $487M Neutral +0.19% +2.47% ·
7 RYROYAL BANK OF CANADA Finance 0.09 $271.1B Neutral +0.19% -0.62% ▼ 1
8 MVBFMVB FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.40 $374M Neutral +0.18% +1.81% ·
9 ONITONITY GROUP INC. Finance 0.04 $224M Neutral +0.18% +1.05% ▼ 1
10 TSBKTIMBERLAND BANCORP INC Finance 0.23 $350M Neutral +0.18% +1.79% ·
11 OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.28 $6.3B Neutral +0.17% +0.07% ·
12 ZIONZIONS BANCORPORATION, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION /UT/ Finance 0.18 $9.0B Neutral +0.16% +0.55% ·
13 AMTBAmerant Bancorp Inc. Finance 0.57 $1.1B Neutral +0.15% +1.93% ·
14 BFSTBusiness First Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.17 $1.0B Neutral +0.15% +1.66% ·
15 CACCAMDEN NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.22 $939M Neutral +0.15% +0.54% ·
16 CASHPATHWARD FINANCIAL, INC. Finance 0.23 $1.5B Neutral +0.15% -0.08% ·
17 CTBICOMMUNITY TRUST BANCORP INC /KY/ Finance 0.08 $1.3B Neutral +0.15% +1.29% ·
18 DCOMDime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /NY/ Finance 0.22 $1.7B Neutral +0.15% +0.91% ·
19 EEFTEURONET WORLDWIDE, INC. Finance 0.44 $2.4B Neutral +0.15% -0.18% ▼ 1
20 HMNHORACE MANN EDUCATORS CORP /DE/ Finance 0.13 $1.9B Neutral +0.15% +0.03% ·
21 OPBKOP Bancorp Finance 0.20 $220M Neutral +0.15% +1.61% ·
22 RBBRBB Bancorp Finance 0.18 $431M Neutral +0.15% +0.73% ·
23 RNRRENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTD Finance 0.12 $14.1B Neutral +0.15% -0.30% ·
24 TFCTRUIST FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.30 $55.7B Neutral +0.15% -0.52% ·
25 TPGTPG Inc. Finance 0.44 $16.2B Neutral +0.15% +0.03% ·
26 UNMUnum Group Finance 0.42 $14.5B Neutral +0.15% -0.24% ▼ 1
27 MRBKMeridian Corp Finance 0.14 $220M Neutral +0.13% +1.25% ·
28 HAFCHANMI FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.34 $904M Neutral +0.12% +1.47% ·
29 FBKFB Financial Corp Finance 0.14 $2.5B Neutral +0.09% +0.43% ·
30 ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings Finance 0.18 $1.3B Neutral +0.08% +0.81% ·
31 PRKPARK NATIONAL CORP /OH/ Finance 0.11 $3.2B Neutral +0.08% -0.42% ·
32 FMCBFARMERS & MERCHANTS BANCORP Finance 0.33 $993M Neutral +0.05% +0.84% ·
33 RILYBRC Group Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.54 $186M Neutral +0.04% -1.03% ·
34 WSFSWSFS FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.06 $3.8B Neutral +0.03% -0.11% ·
35 HOPEHOPE BANCORP INC Finance 0.03 $1.7B Neutral +0.01% +1.32% ·
36 UVSPUNIVEST FINANCIAL Corp Finance 0.36 $1.1B Neutral 0.00% +0.02% ·
37 PFGPRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC Finance 0.21 $23.2B Neutral -0.01% -1.06% ▼ 1
38 BXBlackstone Inc. Finance 0.19 $98.5B Neutral -0.02% +0.16% ·
39 BANFBANCFIRST CORP /OK/ Finance 0.23 $3.6B Neutral -0.03% -0.15% ·
40 USBUS BANCORP \DE\ Finance 0.09 $87.7B Neutral -0.03% -1.13% ·
41 BPOPPOPULAR, INC. Finance 0.05 $9.9B Neutral -0.04% -1.16% ·
42 CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. Finance 0.56 $31.4B Neutral -0.04% -0.41% ·
43 HBNCHORIZON BANCORP INC /IN/ Finance 0.01 $975M Neutral -0.04% +0.88% ·
44 HBTHBT Financial, Inc. Finance 0.12 $1.3B Neutral -0.04% +0.88% ·
45 JRVRJames River Group Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.32 $170M Neutral -0.04% 0.00% ·
46 MBINMerchants Bancorp Finance 0.09 $2.2B Neutral -0.04% +0.73% ·
47 MFGMIZUHO FINANCIAL GROUP INC Finance 0.17 $25.5B Neutral -0.04% -1.77% ·
48 MPBMID PENN BANCORP INC Finance 0.14 $900M Neutral -0.04% +1.85% ·
49 PDLBPonce Financial Group, Inc. Finance 0.08 $483M Neutral -0.04% +1.56% ·
50 RMBIRichmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc. Finance 0.01 $256M Neutral -0.04% +1.01% ·
1–50 of 134 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 178▼ 146
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-14) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.